3 Rivers Lottery Snow2Flow Update

Here’s an update for the MF, Main, Lochsa and Selway Rivers showing there’s enough remaining snow to generate another increase in flow the next few days. This may be the last week of cooler/wetter spring weather with forecasts hinting at warmer/nicer weather for June’s arrival. Keep an eye on the sky watching the weather, and your mouse on snow melt and river levels pages as we see how high the rivers rise from this pulse of water coming out of the mountains. Enjoy & be safe !

Selway & Lochsa Rivers

 Snow & Flow Update And Owyhee is up !

Here’s an update for Selway & Lochsa Rivers based on Jan 1 & Jan 28 that shows the current snow, chance to recover, and plots of other strong El Nino years along with analog years. We’ll keep an eye on using 2010 as another analog year for this winter and watch how it tracks else in the state too. Enjoy spring skiing this week but stay tuned as we still have 40% of winter to go and winter returns in early February (this weekend)!

MF Salmon and Selway Rivers Recession Flow Estimation Tool for use after peak flows have occurred and river is in full recession

Did you get lucky and get a permit for the MF or Selway Rivers? Here’s a tool developed a while ago by Peter Palmer, Ron and crew, and it still works. Because Mother Nature melts the mountain snowpack that feeds the streams consistently (elevation, south and north facing slopes, and even burnt areas) from one year to another, the end result is snowmelt recession flows are consistent from year to year. Try using the graph to see what the flow might be on your future launch date to better understand potential river flow levels while also considering your risk level and boating skills.

It is designed to be used after the peak flow has occurred AND the river is in full recession. This is OBSERVED by watching the decreasing flow levels on the recession side of the hydrograph. If there is a future river peak from rain or additional snowmelt, just start over when the river starts receding again. The data used to develop the nice sloping curve is based only on when river flows were receding.

Give it a try and let us know how it worked to help predict your flow level on your launch date. These could also be helpful on other rivers to help monitor water right Day of Allocations, water right cut dates, critical low flow and more because of these consistent snowmelt / recession flow relationships that occur every year based on how the snow melts.

These two hydrographs show the MF Salmon and Selway Rivers ARE NOT in full recession because the current flow is holding steady or increasing from the warmer temperatures and /or remaining snow. The previous fast decrease in flow was a result of cooler air temperatures slowing melt and not because of the higher elevation snow that feeds the streams gradually being depleted. It is always cool to watch the diurnal snowmelt fluctuations each day as temperatures warm during the day and cool at night and impacts of as major cold fronts move through. This could be another post about what the timing of these daily diurnal snowmelt peaks really mean.