Current neutral ENSO conditions are predicted to change into La Nina conditions for this winter. Weak or strong La Nina? It doesn’t really matter in years following a strong El Nino like last year.

Following is a summary of the different outlooks, explanation of current conditions, and reading material if you can’t sleep or just interested in learning about these relationships. You can skip to the end for the summary to see what happens in winters following strong El Ninos or here it is…